Initially promised to open in 2026 with a $5.4 billion budget, the Cross River Rail project now faces allegations of cost blowouts to $17 billion and a delayed operational date (2029), causing heated debates and conflicting explanations.
Conflicting Timelines and Costs
Current officials have stated that the Cross River Rail will not be ready for passengers until 2029 due to delays in construction, equipment installation, and an extensive certification process by the National Rail Safety Regulator. However, the regulator disputed this claim, clarifying that project managers are responsible for certification timelines and are limited to assessing submitted safety evidence.
Officials further attributed part of the delay to construction issues, including stalled work on fire and signalling systems and delays in building new trains. However, the previous administration has countered these claims, maintaining that the project remains on track for a 2026 opening.
Opposition spokesman Bart Mellish stated that assertions of a 2029 completion date are misleading and that the government should provide evidence for its revised timeline.
Breakdown of Costs
According to the LNP, the tunnel is expected to cost $10.5 billion, including 25 years of maintenance. An additional $5 billion has been attributed to integration works, signalling upgrades, stabling yards, and replacement bus services, while $1.5 billion is linked to contractor claims and cost overruns. This brings the total to $17 billion, a figure far exceeding the original budget of $5.4 billion set by the previous administration.
Labor has condemned this accounting approach, claiming that factoring in long-term maintenance costs and irrelevant expenditures, like buses for South East Queensland, exaggerates the project’s overall cost. Mr Mellish suggested that no government or business includes the full lifecycle costs of an asset in its construction budget.
The discussion around the project has centred on differing interpretations of the costs and timeline. Transport Minister Brent Mickelberg indicated that $5 billion in additional costs, including integration works, maintenance equipment, and buses, were identified after the change in government. The opposition has questioned the inclusion of these expenses in the project’s total cost and has expressed concern over the revised 2029 timeline, asserting that a 2026 opening is still feasible.
Impact on Infrastructure and Public Services
Cross River Rail project delays have broader implications for Brisbane’s transport network. Experts have warned that pushing back the opening could exacerbate congestion, particularly at choke points such as the Inner City Bypass. Plans to improve the Beenleigh and Cleveland rail lines may also be delayed.
Despite the controversies, once operational, the project is expected to provide significant benefits, including faster travel times for commuters and university students.
The Cross River Rail Authority, tasked with managing the project, referred all queries about costs and timelines to the Transport Minister’s office.
Published 12-Dec-2024